BOSTON — SouthCoast residents should keep an eye on the weather. Forecast models predict that Jose will be affecting Southern New England next week.
Jose weakened from a hurricane to a topical storm late Thursday morning but returned to Category 1 hurricane status late this afternoon with sustained 75 mph winds as it continues moving toward the north and west.
The cone of uncertainty — an area surrounding the forecast track of a tropical cyclone — forecasts a northerly route to the east of the Mid-Atlantic over the weekend and impact on Southern New England near the middle of the week.
“It becomes our issue perhaps Tuesday or Wednesday of next week,” said WCVB StormTeam 5 Meteorologist AJ Burnett.
Burnett added that the Cape, Islands and Southeastern Massachusetts will want to watch the development of the forecast particularly closely. In addition to wind and rain, he said that flooding may be a concern.
"We’ve got a new moon, that means we’re running astronomically high for our tide cycle at this time of the month, and that may lead to some coastal flooding," Burnett said.
StormTeam 5 says that ocean swells from Jose should affect area beaches by later in the weekend, increasing the risk for rip currents.
As of the 5 p.m. update from the National Hurricane Center, Jose was located about 640 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina and moving northwest about 10 mph.
The hurricane center said interests northward to New England on the east coast of the United States should monitor the progress of this system.
A tropical storm watch may be needed for a portion of the coast of North Carolina on Saturday, the center said.
Jose is expected to take a turn to the north-northwest by late Saturday and toward the north on Sunday. Some strengthening is forecast through Saturday, with weakening possibly beginning on late Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles, the hurricane center said.
More updates will be provided as they become available.